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OZK

🏦 Financial Services

Bank OZK

Conservative #23Aggressive #303Low Risk
$49.82+1.51%
Day High$49.85
Day Low$48.27
Volume1.9M
Mkt Cap$5.6B
52W Low $3652W High $54
Market Cap
$5.6B
P/E Ratio
7.7
Sector avg: 13.0
Rev Growth
1.1%
Sector avg: 9.5%
Earnings Growth
-0.1%
Profit Margin
25.5%
Sector avg: 36.3%
Debt/Equity
0.08

Score Breakdown

Overall Score82.9
Fundamental Score86.1
ML Score82.5

Score by Horizon

3 Month
69.9
6 Month
78.1
Primary
1 Year
82.3

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality
Quality Flags
CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure — forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentals

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Analysis Signals

Positive Signals
Fundamental: 86.1 (sector-relative)
ML percentile=82.5 (pre-ranked by batch)
Procyclicality dampener: ML weight reduced to 9.0% (S&P 500 return=25.0% > 20% (extended rally); Yield curve inverted (-10bp) — recession signal; Late-cycle score 2/3 → ML weight ×0.90)
Blend: 91% fund (86.1) + 9% ML (82.5) = 85.8
Market-cap adj: +0.5pt ($5.6B)
Sector diversity: -6.0pt (Financial Services over-represented)
Risk Signals
Risk (low): Very low vol 5.9% → +10.1pt stability bonus; Drawdown 14% → -2.5pt
Quality: grade=A, penalty=-5
Flags: CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure — forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentals

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — 11 stocks in universe)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
OZK82.97.71.1%25.5%$5.6B
TROW97.210.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
ACGL93.98.314.7%22.8%$35.7B
CINF92.910.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT80.38.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
NMIH80.07.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
Sector Average83.713.09.5%36.3%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesReasonable P/EHealthy profit marginAttractive valuation

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.