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94

ACGL

🏦 Financial Services

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

Conservative #3Aggressive #147Low Risk
$98.49+0.15%
Day High$99.12
Day Low$97.47
Volume2.1M
Mkt Cap$35.7B
52W Low $8252W High $103
Market Cap
$35.7B
P/E Ratio
8.3
Sector avg: 13.0
Rev Growth
14.7%
Sector avg: 9.5%
Earnings Growth
2.0%
Profit Margin
22.8%
Sector avg: 36.3%
Debt/Equity
0.11

Score Breakdown

Overall Score93.9
Fundamental Score85.1
ML Score93.9

Score by Horizon

3 Month
82.1
6 Month
91.8
Primary
1 Year
96.6

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-40.3%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Analysis Signals

Positive Signals
Fundamental: 85.1 (sector-relative)
ML percentile=93.9 (pre-ranked by batch)
Procyclicality dampener: ML weight reduced to 9.0% (S&P 500 return=25.0% > 20% (extended rally); Yield curve inverted (-10bp) — recession signal; Late-cycle score 2/3 → ML weight ×0.90)
Blend: 91% fund (85.1) + 9% ML (93.9) = 85.9
Market-cap adj: +2.0pt ($35.7B)
Flags: High accrual ratio (-40.3%) — earnings quality concern
Risk Signals
Risk (low): Ultra-low vol 4.7% → +12pt stability bonus; Drawdown 11% → -1.0pt
Quality: grade=B, penalty=-5

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — 11 stocks in universe)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ACGL93.98.314.7%22.8%$35.7B
TROW97.210.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
CINF92.910.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
OZK82.97.71.1%25.5%$5.6B
ACT80.38.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
NMIH80.07.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
Sector Average83.713.09.5%36.3%—

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesReasonable P/EStrong revenue growthHealthy profit marginAttractive valuation

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.